Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has been approved by Labour’s National Executive Committee to seek selection as the party’s prospective representative in the Makerfield by-election, a crucial battle that could transform the political terrain at Westminster. The action marks a notable turnaround for Burnham, whose earlier bid to stand in a by-election in January was blocked by the same body. If he secures nomination and achieves success in the north-west constituency, the 57-year-old is widely expected to mount a challenge against Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer for the party leadership. The by-election is planned for 18 June, following Labour MP Josh Simons’s statement that he will resign to clear the path for Burnham’s return to Parliament.
The Journey Back to Parliament
Burnham’s path to Westminster is not straightforward. Under Labour Party rules, he cannot take part in a leadership contest unless he first becomes an MP, which makes the Makerfield selection crucial to his ambitions in politics. The timeline is tight, with applications to become Labour’s candidate closing on Monday 18 May, followed by a selection meeting on 21 May. This accelerated timeline reflects the urgency surrounding the potential leadership challenge to Sir Keir Starmer, who remains resistant to growing calls from within his own party to step down.
Makerfield, traditionally a safe Labour stronghold, has created a more challenging electoral landscape in the past few years, with the constituency showing growing backing for Reform UK. Should Burnham obtain the nomination, he will face a genuine contest to win the seat—a stark contrast to the comfortable victories typically enjoyed by Labour candidates in this north-west seat. His campaign message emphasises delivering “the change we have brought to Greater Manchester to the entire country and ensure politics functions properly for people,” attempting to position his candidacy as a fresh start for the party.
- Applications for candidacy deadline Monday 18 May
- Selection meeting scheduled for 21 May
- By-election expected on 18 June
- Makerfield has shifted towards Reform UK recently
Leadership Speculation and Internal Party Divisions
The political landscape at Westminster remains deeply fractured following a tumultuous week that has witnessed Sir Keir Starmer face remarkable strain from within his own party. Nearly 90 Labour MPs have openly urged for the Prime Minister to step down, whilst five ministers have quit in objection at his leadership. Yet Starmer has given no indication of yielding to these demands, persisting in rejecting calls for him to announce a schedule for his exit. A formal leadership challenge cannot be initiated until a potential rival secures the backing of 81 Labour MPs—a significant threshold that demonstrates the party’s attempts to avoid destabilising contests.
Burnham’s emergence as a potential challenger has crystallised the growing discontent within Labour ranks, with his selection in Makerfield widely interpreted as a strategic move to establish himself for a future leadership bid. The former Health Secretary’s decision to return to Parliament signals that he intends to play a significant part in shaping the party’s course. However, the PM’s supporters stay resolute, with Housing Secretary Steve Reed urging the party to “take a breath” and refocus on serving the country. The divide separating those pushing for reform and those supporting Starmer’s position indicates that Labour’s party divisions are nowhere near settled.
Other Potential Contenders Emerge
Wes Streeting, the recently resigned Health Secretary, has emerged as another possible leadership contender, though he has stopped short of explicitly declaring his intentions. On Thursday, when Streeting announced his departure, speculation grew that he might launch a formal challenge against Starmer. His allies have suggested he commands the backing of the 81 Labour MPs required to enter a leadership race, positioning him as a viable alternative to the current Prime Minister. However, Streeting has merely called for a “broad discussion about the way forward,” preserving deliberate ambiguity about his personal ambitions.
The presence of multiple potential challengers underscores the scale of dissatisfaction among Labour MPs and prompts inquiry about how a leadership contest might unfold. With both Burnham and Streeting possibly establishing themselves as challengers to Starmer’s leadership, the party faces the prospect of a damaging internal conflict. The Prime Minister’s determination to hold his ground, paired with the rise of rival candidates, indicates that Labour’s leadership crisis is improbable to be settled quickly or without considerable harm to party cohesion.
The Makerfield Project
Whilst Burnham’s selection as Labour’s candidate stays uncertain, the Makerfield constituency represents a tough test of his political credentials. Long regarded as a Labour stronghold, the region has displayed concerning indicators of decline over recent years, with voters increasingly turning to Reform UK. The by-election, expected to take place on 18 June, will act as a key indicator of whether Burnham can rebuild relationships with ordinary working people who have moved away from Labour. His campaign organisation will need to tackle genuine concerns about the party’s direction whilst concurrently establishing him as a viable alternative to Starmer’s leadership.
The timeline for Burnham’s candidacy is remarkably tight, with submissions due on Monday 18 May and the selection meeting set for just three days later on 21 May. This tight timetable demonstrates the urgency surrounding the by-election and the party’s wish to progress quickly towards the campaign proper. Burnham’s choice to stand for selection indicates his belief that he can win over local party members, but victory is by no means assured. The constituency’s recent political volatility means that even success in the constituency would not necessarily translate into a successful leadership challenge against an incumbent Prime Minister resolved to fight for his position.
| Factor | Details |
|---|---|
| Seat Status | Traditionally safe Labour but recently leaning towards Reform UK |
| By-election Date | Expected to take place on 18 June 2024 |
| Selection Timeline | Applications close 18 May; selection meeting on 21 May |
| Political Context | Burnham must win seat to challenge Starmer under party rules |
- Burnham committed to delivering Greater Manchester’s success to the whole country
- Local voters have demonstrated recent preference for Reform candidates
- Victory would furnish Burnham with the parliamentary credentials essential to leadership ambitions
Political Divisions and Public Discontent
Labour’s divisions within the party have come to a critical point following the party’s disappointing election results, with close to 90 MPs publicly calling for Sir Keir Starmer’s removal from office. The mounting pressure on the Prime Minister reflects significant frustration amongst rank-and-file MPs over the party’s path forward and electoral strategy. However, Starmer has stayed firm in his rejection of a schedule for stepping down, instead choosing to weather the storm and solidify his standing. This determination has further fuelled discussion regarding alternative candidates, with Burnham positioning himself as the strongest alternative candidate in a position to command parliamentary support and reframing Labour’s political message.
The party’s internal crisis has been compounded by ministerial resignations, with five key members withdrawing in protest at the leadership’s management of recent events. Wes Streeting, the ex-health secretary, has been suggested as another potential contender for the leadership, though he has stopped short of formally declaring his intention to challenge Starmer. The doubts concerning the party’s strategic path has created a space that ambitious politicians like Burnham are keen to fill. With under 81 Labour MPs needed to trigger a formal leadership contest, the party faces an extraordinary stretch of instability that could influence its trajectory for years to come.
Senior Ministers Seek Political Stability
Members of the government have attempted to restore calm after the turbulent week of political upheaval. Steve Reed, the housing secretary and a close ally of the Prime Minister, called for reflection and a renewed focus on serving the country. His measured response reflects an attempt by Starmer’s supporters to stabilise the situation and prevent additional government resignations. The government’s strategy appears centred on demonstrating competence and fulfilling its policy agenda, hoping that concrete achievements will quieten internal dissent and allow the party to progress past the current leadership turmoil.
What Comes Next
The timetable for Burnham’s bid is now clearly set, with nominations for Labour’s official candidate closing on Monday, 18 May. A candidate selection will occur three days later on 21 May, where Labour members will choose between contenders seeking the chance to stand for Makerfield. The by-election is expected to take place on 18 June, creating a accelerated timeline that demonstrates the pressing circumstances facing Labour. This accelerated process means Burnham will need to campaign vigorously to win both the Labour nomination and success in what has traditionally been a Labour stronghold.
Should Burnham secure the Makerfield seat, he would immediately become eligible to contest Sir Keir Starmer for the leadership position. Under Labour Party rules, he cannot presently formally enter a leadership contest whilst holding the position of mayor, making parliamentary representation vital to his ambitions. With close to 90 MPs already calling for Starmer’s resignation, Burnham would likely secure the 81 endorsements required to trigger a formal leadership election. The Prime Minister, however, displays no indication of standing down voluntarily, implying any challenge would be bitterly fought and possibly divisive for the party.
- Applications close 18 May; voting process planned for 21 May
- By-election due 18 June in the Makerfield constituency
- A win would render Burnham eligible to challenge Starmer for the leadership position
- 81 Labour MP endorsements needed to formally launch a leadership challenge